Steady Decline in COVID-19 Pandemic in India

New Delhi: India with more than 72 lakh recovered COVID-19 patients has the maximum number of recoveries in the world, the Union Health Ministry said on Tuesday. Addressing a press conference, Union Health Secretary Rajesh Bhushan said that there has been a continuous decline in average daily deaths due to the COVID-19 in the last five weeks.

A woman carries an idol of Hindu god Ganesh on Aug. 22, 2020, at the start of a 10-day festival, amid the Covid-19 outbreak, in Mumbai, India. REUTERS – HEMANSHI KAMANI

“The recovery rate is at 90.62 per cent currently. The cumulative positivity rate is on a constant decline, and currently, it is at 7.61 per cent. If we see the number of cases per million, then India has the least cases per million people. We have 5,700 cases per million. Most developed western economies have double or even five times more cases per million than India,” he said, adding more than 10 crore tests for COVID-19 have been conducted so far.

“The case fatality rate is also on the decline and 58 per cent of new deaths that are reported in the last 24 hours are from five states and UTs (Maharashtra, West Bengal, Delhi, Chhattisgarh, and Karnataka). The case fatality rate was 1.77 per cent on September 1; now it has reduced to 1.50 per cent. There are multiple states and UTs in the country where the fatality rate is less than 1.50 per cent,” Bhushan stated.

He added that 78 per cent of active cases are present in 10 states and UTs. “Cases have increased in Kerala, West Bengal, Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Delhi during the festival season,” he said.

The Health Ministry further said that initially, it took 57 days to register a recovery of 10 lakh people from one lakh in India, however, the latest 10 lakh recoveries have been achieved in 13 days, which is a satisfactory sign.
Dr VK Paul, Member (Health), NITI Aayog; and Balram Bhargava, Director General of the Indian Council of Medical Research; were also present during the press conference.

Central Government notes steady decline in of COVID-19 pandemic

The Central government on Tuesday said that the Covid-19 pandemic in India is on declining trend except for two or three states, noting that it is “particularly noteworthy” in comparison to some countries in the Northern hemisphere where a severe increase in the intensity of the pandemic is seen.

“We are fortunate that today we are showing a decline of the pandemic. This decline is particularly noteworthy because in other countries of Northern hemisphere is a severe increase in the intensity of the pandemic,” said Dr VK Paul, Member (Health), NITI Aayog and chairperson of COVID-19 taskforce committee at a press conference.

He said that India has to protect these gains through surveillance, containment, contact tracing, isolation, quarantine, and individual behavior to combat the virus.

“The COVID-19 pandemic situation in other countries in worsening as cases is increasing rapidly. Especially in European countries as it is even more aggressive than the first phase (original) of the pandemic. Fortunately, the mortality rate is somewhat low as the health system has been beefed up,” Dr Paul stated

“Presently, a clear scenario is emerging in the Northern hemisphere as the pandemic is once again climbing its peak. In America, there is a third peak. One of the reasons could be that there are winters in the northern hemisphere, and winter is a favorable condition for respiratory viruses,” he added.

He further said that India’s trend is in a different direction and we have to be always vigilant and follow all guidelines of COVID-19 appropriate behavior to maintain that.

According to Dr Paul, our recovered cases are more than 90 per cent and active cases are lesser now. He said in India, the COVID-19 pandemic is on a declining trend except for two or three states where corona cases are increasing like–Kerala, West Bengal, and Delhi (witnessing a third peak).

He further said that super-spreading events like festivals must be avoided.

“We are looking for a super-spreading event in the case of an individual positive case is an important area of our work. Super-spreading events happen when we are together not only in very large numbers but also in medium numbers. So, a super-spreading event must be avoided,’ he said.
He appealed to everyone to wear masks, maintain social distancing, and continue hand hygiene.

“We have to continue our TEST, TREAT, TRACK strategy to fight with the virus. Coronavirus positive persons have to be isolated and people coming in contact with the positive cases must be quarantined. These are two key elements for strong Covid-19 surveillance,” said the chairperson of the COVID-19 taskforce committee.
“A good program suggests that for one positive case, there are 15-20 contacts, at least more than 10 contacts that are quarantined. And they are quarantined with respect, support, and full dignity,” he added.

So far, the country has reported 79.46 lakh (79,46,429) which includes 6,25,857 people who were being treated for the disease and 72,01,070 people have recovered. The total COVID-19 fatality is 1,19,502.

Source: ANI

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